When the blind seek to leak the blind, a cautionary note is in order. This report is written in blissful ignorance of whatever systematic efforts the United States Government has made to construct a counter-deception capability, designed to detect, neutralize and undermine those foreign deception operations that degrade governmental performance through U.S. intelligence channels. To the extent that such a capability exists, what follows may be superfluous. Neither the public literature on intelligence activities nor the public record of intelligence predictions confirms the existence of such a counter-deception capability, but the public record is notoriously murky and subject to correction.
This report explores the effects of deception upon strategic warning systems, and possible protective efforts for the detection of strategic foreign deception. The report excludes from consideration evaluation of organizational alternatives for counter-deception systems. Drawing only upon public sources, this report is designed to serve as a background reference for readers interested in methodologies for coping with deception, or in references to the literature of deception and cognition.
This report was obtained from the CIA CREST system, and the National Archives and Records Administration (NARA).